Case-Based Reasoning
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This Looks Like That: Deep Learning for Interpretable Image Recognition
Chaofan Chen, Oscar Li, Daniel Tao, Alina Barnett, Cynthia Rudin, Jonathan K. Su
How would you describe why the image in Figure 1 looks like a clay colored sparrow? Perhaps the bird's head and wing bars look like those of a prototypical clay colored sparrow. When we describe how we classify images, we might focus on parts of the image and compare them with prototypical parts of images from a given class. This method of reasoning is commonly used in difficult identification tasks: e.g., radiologists compare suspected tumors in X-ray scans with prototypical tumor images for diagnosis of cancer [13].
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Online Consistency of the Nearest Neighbor Rule
In the realizable online setting, a learner is tasked with making predictions for a stream of instances, where the correct answer is revealed after each prediction. A learning rule is online consistent if its mistake rate eventually vanishes. The nearest neighbor rule is fundamental prediction strategy, but it is only known to be consistent under strong statistical or geometric assumptions: the instances come i.i.d. or the label classes are well-separated. We prove online consistency for all measurable functions in doubling metric spaces under the mild assumption that instances are generated by a process that is uniformly absolutely continuous with respect to an underlying finite, upper doubling measure.
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Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Weapons Proliferation: The Technological Arms Race for (In)visibility
Allison, David M., Herzog, Stephen
A robust nonproliferation regime has contained the spread of nuclear weapons to just nine states. Yet, emerging and disruptive technologies are reshaping the landscape of nuclear risks, presenting a critical juncture for decision makers. This article lays out the contours of an overlooked but intensifying technological arms race for nuclear (in)visibility, driven by the interplay between proliferation-enabling technologies (PETs) and detection-enhancing technologies (DETs). We argue that the strategic pattern of proliferation will be increasingly shaped by the innovation pace in these domains. Artificial intelligence (AI) introduces unprecedented complexity to this equation, as its rapid scaling and knowledge substitution capabilities accelerate PET development and challenge traditional monitoring and verification methods. To analyze this dynamic, we develop a formal model centered on a Relative Advantage Index (RAI), quantifying the shifting balance between PETs and DETs. Our model explores how asymmetric technological advancement, particularly logistic AI-driven PET growth versus stepwise DET improvements, expands the band of uncertainty surrounding proliferation detectability. Through replicable scenario-based simulations, we evaluate the impact of varying PET growth rates and DET investment strategies on cumulative nuclear breakout risk. We identify a strategic fork ahead, where detection may no longer suffice without broader PET governance. Governments and international organizations should accordingly invest in policies and tools agile enough to keep pace with tomorrow's technology.
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